A recent survey conducted for CBC News indicates that there has been no significant shift in Albertans’ support for separatism despite ongoing efforts to collect signatures for a potential independence referendum. The survey, conducted by Calgary-based pollster Janet Brown of Janet Brown Opinion Research in collaboration with Trend Research, involved 1,200 Albertans and took place between April 7 and 22. Brown noted that the stability of separatist sentiment is notable given the evolving economic landscape in Alberta.
According to the survey results, 27% of respondents expressed support for Alberta’s separation from Canada, while 67% opposed it, with 6% remaining undecided. The Stay Free Alberta movement has been actively gathering signatures across the province with the aim of triggering a referendum before the May 2 deadline. Despite longstanding concerns around Western alienation, polling data has consistently shown limited growth in support for Alberta separatism over the past eight years.
The survey also examined factors influencing support for separation, revealing that individuals with higher incomes who struggle to meet monthly expenses are more inclined towards separatist sentiments. In terms of political affiliations, the majority of Alberta NDP supporters oppose separation, while 57% of UCP supporters would vote in favor of it. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, who advocates for a sovereign Alberta within Canada, faces challenges as a significant portion of her supporters lean towards separatism.
When asked about the likelihood of a successful separation referendum, only a small percentage of Albertans believed it was probable, reflecting a general skepticism towards the idea. Political science professor Duane Bratt highlighted the persistent nature of polling results, indicating minimal changes despite various initiatives and advocacy efforts in the region.
Alex Krull, a canvasser for Stay Free Alberta, shared his perspective on the independence movement, emphasizing the need for greater regional influence in federal policies. While hopeful for a positive outcome in a potential referendum, Krull acknowledged the uncertainties but remains committed to pursuing a stronger position within Confederation.
Overall, the survey findings underscore the enduring nature of sentiments towards Alberta separatism and the complex dynamics influencing public opinions on the matter.